Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000271 0.000303 0.000338 0.000378 0.000423 0.000471 0.000528
2025-03-23 0.000226 0.000270 0.000321 0.000382 0.000455 0.000540 0.000645
2025-03-30 0.000192 0.000242 0.000303 0.000381 0.000479 0.000599 0.000756
2025-04-06 0.000168 0.000223 0.000291 0.000385 0.000508 0.000665 0.000881
2025-04-13 0.000148 0.000205 0.000280 0.000386 0.000532 0.000727 0.001006
2025-04-20 0.000130 0.000188 0.000266 0.000382 0.000547 0.000776 0.001117
2025-04-27 0.000121 0.000181 0.000266 0.000394 0.000586 0.000860 0.001283
2025-05-04 0.000112 0.000172 0.000261 0.000401 0.000615 0.000933 0.001440
2025-05-11 0.000103 0.000164 0.000256 0.000405 0.000641 0.001001 0.001595
2025-05-18 0.000094 0.000154 0.000247 0.000403 0.000656 0.001055 0.001730
2025-05-25 0.000087 0.000148 0.000243 0.000408 0.000683 0.001128 0.001902
2025-06-01 0.000080 0.000139 0.000234 0.000403 0.000693 0.001173 0.002032
2025-06-08 0.000074 0.000131 0.000228 0.000404 0.000713 0.001240 0.002207
2025-06-15 0.000068 0.000125 0.000223 0.000405 0.000736 0.001312 0.002400
2025-06-22 0.000063 0.000118 0.000216 0.000403 0.000750 0.001371 0.002575
2025-06-29 0.000059 0.000113 0.000213 0.000406 0.000775 0.001452 0.002795
2025-07-06 0.000055 0.000109 0.000208 0.000407 0.000796 0.001527 0.003012
2025-07-13 0.000051 0.000102 0.000201 0.000402 0.000805 0.001578 0.003188
2025-07-20 0.000049 0.000101 0.000203 0.000415 0.000850 0.001704 0.003521
2025-07-27 0.000047 0.000098 0.000202 0.000422 0.000883 0.001808 0.003820
2025-08-03 0.000044 0.000095 0.000199 0.000426 0.000911 0.001903 0.004109
2025-08-10 0.000041 0.000091 0.000194 0.000424 0.000924 0.001972 0.004346
2025-08-17 0.000039 0.000089 0.000193 0.000429 0.000955 0.002078 0.004675